Monday, March 30, 2020

Prognostication about how to proceed to contain Covid-19

Current Status of Covid-19

What is happening in the US at this time (Mar 24, 2020)

  • Self-Isolation: If you have been in a public venue, you should isolate yourself for at least 5.1 days [the time for the virus to begin to exhibit symptoms in your body].
  • Social Distancing: We are not to be within 6 feet of another person. Maybe there are some caveats:
    • If we have been quarantined with that person there is no social distancing
    • If there is no evidence of symptoms after 14 days of self-isolation, begin social distancing
    • Use your brain to determine how to shop at grocery stores
    • Use your computer to shop from home and have your order delivered to your home
      • Use Clorox Wipes (or some wipe that claims to kill 99% of viruses) to wipe the outside of the packaging as you open your order
      • Wear proper latex gloves to open packaging even while cleaning with "wipes"
    • Be aware that the person with symptoms should be wearing a mask to minimize dispersion of the respiratory fluids that pass the virus

    What information is available to really inform us

    There are certainly a lot of opinions about how to approach the coronavirus Covid-19. I just read a very interesting post on medium.com. The author is Tomas Pueyo. The post is very well researched and its conclusions are heartening. Understand as you read that the author is not giving you his conclusions, but is unfolding the information retrieved from many sources and many contributors

    Here is the Link: The Hammer and the Dance

    If you understand the presentation and agree with the premise, there is a way you can make your voice heard by our government. "We The People" is a link that receives the White House's attention when a petition presented on the site reaches a critical number of signatures.

    What can be done to get us back to work

    added: March 29, 2020
    We can send the youth without symptoms back to work while they continue to practice social distancing with other workers. If they live in a multi-generational family home, they should self-quarantine to one level of the home (with access to the garage), and have meals delivered at an entrance to that floor by another young person who leaves before the meals are picked up by the self-quarantined individual.

    In this way, we may actually save the national economy.

    Did Singapore close their economy

    Reports are that Singapore did not send their people home from their jobs. It is said they did not even close their schools. It seems that they "hammered" the spread of Covid-19 by serious self-isolation of the elderly and the infirm. Apparently, they kept their economy functioning with the working youth and those of either vigorous health or successful virus recovery. The very young continued to attend school but were isolated from the older generation.

    Here is a report that seems to indicate how they proceeded against the spread of the Covid-19 virus.

    This data is old now, but may still be very relevant.

    Just what jobs are actually "essential"

    In this list, it may be that some of these jobs do not seem essential to you. Think again [and again].
    • medical professionals
    • manufacturers
      • General Motors and Ford are making new ventilators 
      • LVMH (luxury perfume maker) is making hand sanitizer
      • Altress (small, made-to-order dressmaker) is making surgical masks

      • De Soto Sport (high-end sports apparel) is giving away breathable, adjustable face masks
      • LMVH (Louis Vuitton and Dior) has ordered 20 million medical masks from China
      • Fashion companies (H&M and Zara) and luxury firms (LVMH, Kering, and Prada) are looking for the proper materials to begin making masks
      • Kering (Gucci, Balenciaga, and Yves Saint Laurent) will begin making masks
      • ResMed (San Diego based) will maximize the production of ventilators, masks, and other respiratory devices
    • delivery personnel UPS & FedEx have been continually making deliveries of needed materials and even food orders to self-isolated groups and families
    • gasoline suppliers enable delivery companies
    • Amazon & Walmart ship their product line
      • these workers need to be on the job to package orders
      • drivers need to be available for deliveries
      • stockers are obviously required to assemble orders
    • Distilleries are manufacturing hand sanitizers
      • Brown-Forman (Woodford Reserve & Old Forester Distillery started delivering free sanitizer to first responders
      • Neeley Family Distillery is making small batches of hand sanitizer and allowing people to bring their own bottles to fill up for a donation
      • Lexington Brewing & Distilling, Rabbit Hole Distillery, and Wilderness Trail Distillery have all announced they intend to produce hand sanitizer


    Looking through the "Looking Glass"

    1. Let's continue self-isolation for those with symptoms or positive test results
    2. Let's continue social distancing because it is good practice to stem the spread of Covid-19
    3. Let's put the youth of the workforce back to work in a way that saves our economy
    4. Let's review the meaning of 'Essential Jobs"
    5. Let's be sensible and logical to move toward containment of this virus without social destruction
    6. Let's manage this without extreme hoarding or contentious social disorder






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